Swipe1 is a crowd-priced market you operate entirely by swiping. This page explains the mechanic end to end: what a prediction market is, what happens when you swipe, how the price of a market reflects the crowd's probability, and how a market finally resolves. If a term is unfamiliar, it is defined in the glossary.

What a prediction market is

A prediction market is a marketplace where people trade on the outcome of a future event — "Will X happen by date Y?" Instead of a bookmaker setting the odds, the price of each outcome is set by everyone participating. If a market for "yes" trades around 70, the crowd is collectively saying the event is about 70% likely. As new information arrives, people swipe, and the price moves. That moving price is the market's live probability estimate.

How Swipe1 implements it

Traditional prediction markets show you an order book, a price chart, and buy/sell tickets. Swipe1 replaces all of that with a single gesture:

• A question appears. One clear, real-world question per card.
• You swipe. Right for yes, left for no. That swipe opens your position at the current market price.
• The market moves. As others swipe and information changes, the price updates and you can see whether the crowd is moving toward or away from your call.
• The market resolves. When the event is decided, a resolver settles the market against the real-world result, and correct positions are rewarded.

A worked example

Say a card asks: "Will Team A win Saturday's match?" The market is trading at 60 for yes. You think that is too low, so you swipe right. If the crowd later agrees and the price climbs toward 80, your early position looks strong; if news breaks that a key player is injured and the price falls, the crowd now sees the outcome as less likely. When the match finishes, the market resolves to yes or no and settles. Throughout, you never touched a chart or an order book — you swiped once.

Why this matters

The barrier to prediction markets has never been interest — plenty of people have opinions about elections, sports, crypto and world events. The barrier is the interface. By reducing participation to a swipe, Swipe1 targets the gap between "I have a view" and "I placed a position." That is also why it is built on BNB Chain: a swipe-fast interface needs a settlement layer that is just as fast and cheap, or the friction simply moves from the screen to the wallet.

Reading a market at a glance

Because there is no chart to interpret, a Swipe1 market gives you three things to read in a second:

• The question — a single, clearly-worded yes/no outcome with a resolution date.
• The price — how likely the crowd thinks "yes" is, from 0 to 100. Higher means the crowd is more confident it happens.
• The direction — whether that price has been drifting toward yes or no as new information lands.

That is genuinely all you need to take a position. The depth is optional, not mandatory — the opposite of an order book, where the depth is the price of entry.

The kinds of questions you'll see

Swipe1 markets span anything with a clear, verifiable outcome, so there is usually something you have a real opinion about:

• Crypto — "Will BTC close above a level this week?", token and airdrop milestones.
• Sports — match and tournament outcomes.
• Economics & world events — rate decisions, releases, and other dated, checkable events.
• Culture — awards, launches, and other outcomes the crowd can price.

Every market must resolve against something real and checkable — that is what keeps Swipe1 a prediction market rather than a game of chance, and why it is not a sportsbook.

What happens after you swipe

Your swipe opens a position at the current price and settles on BNB Chain. From there you can keep swiping other markets while this one plays out. When the event is decided, the resolver settles it against the real result and correct positions are rewarded — and every prediction you make is also earning Points toward your Season 0 standing.